Import AI 462: Superpersuasion; self-sustaining AI; paths to ASI

Summary

How religious are beliefs in the singularity?

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• Import AI 444: LLM societies; Huawei makes kernels with AI; ChipBench
• Import AI 445: Timing superintelligence; AIs solve frontier math proofs; a new ML research benchmark
• Import AI 446: Nuclear LLMs; China's big AI benchmark; measurement and AI policy
• Import AI 447: The AGI economy; testing AIs with generated games; and agent ecologies
• Import AI 448: AI R&D; Bytedance's CUDA-writing agent; on-device satellite AI
• ImportAI 449: LLMs training other LLMs; 72B distributed training run; computer vision is harder than generative text