Analysis: How accurate have Ed Zitron's predictions been?

Overview

https://danluu.com/zitron/ Very well-written and considered analysis; homework was done here. Two good excerpts: Zitron's reasoning isn't worse than Kurzweil's, who (for example) continually made new predictions of extremely fast progress that didn't pan out (such as, in 2001, predicting unbounded lifespans by 2011). Continually predicting that AI progress will stop for reasons that are incorrect is just taking the flip side of the bet on progress. Instead of having infinite prog

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