SPIN Unprocessed October 28, 2026 ai_technology research
Lessons from Luck: Do LLM-Written Lessons Carry Chance into an Agent's Next Decision?
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arXiv:2610.33029v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-improving agents write lessons from the outcomes of their runs; when outcomes are noisy, a lesson can carry chance into later decisions. We measure one link of this chain in a registered study. In 256 synthetic worlds, each a recurring task with two interchangeable tools of recorded reliability, a scripted previous run used the more reliable tool (a good decision) or the less reliable one (a bad decision), with an assigned outcome: success or
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