Can LLMs Access their World Knowledge for Event Prediction?

Overview

arXiv:2610.19021v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent work has questioned whether large language models (LLMs) can be useful for temporal event prediction. Despite vast pretrained world knowledge, LLMs often underperform simpler specialized models. We ask whether this knowledge is truly inaccessible, or whether current methods fail to present event prediction in a form LLMs can use. We argue for the latter and show that LLMs become effective event forecasters when the interface is designed arou

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