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October 27, 2026 ai_technology research

The Social World Model Evaluation Gap

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arXiv:2610.33014v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A negotiation assistant can reach a good deal without accurately predicting the other person's response. We ask whether evaluations of social world models test that prediction directly. We audit 113 works published from 1999 to 2026. 9 primary evaluations measure a real person's response to an action selected by the system or experimenter. Only 2 also compare an explicit response forecast with that response. Their predictors use information availab

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